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A living view of what comes next.

Research on the technologies, companies and market structures changing what an industry can do.

Explore the research

01 / Latest research

New ideas as they publish
ThesisWhere is intelligence becoming infrastructure?
Featured research

The Consensus Machine

AI makes another opinion inexpensive. As analysis becomes abundant, advantage may shift to those who can produce evidence that changes a decision—and retain the value of what they learn.

Andrew Padilla · Oct 19, 2026 · 9 min readRead the research
02 / The archive

Ideas in depth.

Explore the questions and shifts we are following across computing, biology and the physical world.

02Computing

AI Needs Somewhere to Learn

As models become better at proposing solutions, the companies that connect them to useful experiments could shape the next generation of scientific businesses

Andrew PadillaOct 15, 2026 · 7 min read
03Computing

The Org Chart Is Getting a Second Layer

Agents are taking on ongoing work. The investment question is which parts of coordinating that work become independent businesses—and which are absorbed into the enterprise stack.

Andrew PadillaOct 6, 2026 · 7 min read
04Physical world

Power Is Not Yet Compute

The opportunity in AI infrastructure is not simply to secure megawatts. It is to turn them into reliable capacity—and retain the economics as deployment scales.

Andrew PadillaOct 1, 2026 · 7 min read
05Physical world

The Work Between Interventions

Better robotic learning could make variable physical work economical to automate. The opportunity is to turn that adaptability into dependable capacity—and a repeatable business.

Andrew PadillaSep 30, 2026 · 6 min read
06Biology

The Factory Belongs in the Design

In industrial biology, advantage may come from connecting molecular design, experiments and production—so each improves the others.

Andrew PadillaSep 30, 2026 · 6 min read
07Physical world

The Rack Door Buying AI More Time

Rear-door heat exchangers will not replace direct liquid cooling. They may be the bridge that keeps a large installed base useful while AI infrastructure catches up.

Andrew PadillaJul 30, 2026 · 5 min read
08Computing

The Web Just Sent AI a Bill

AWS and Cloudflare are turning web access from a permission problem into a priced API call. The interesting business may sit between the meter and the model.

Andrew PadillaJul 30, 2026 · 7 min read
09Computing

Your AI Agent Needs a Credit Limit

We spent years teaching models how to act. The next valuable layer will decide what they are allowed to do.

Andrew PadillaJul 28, 2026 · 6 min read
Beyond the archive / 06 questionsFollow the questions behind the research.
03 / Follow a question

The questions we keep asking.

Six standing questions give our research a direction. Open one to explore the pieces connected to it.

01Where is intelligence becoming infrastructure?ComputingExplore 4 piecesClose
02Which expert workflows are becoming software-operated?ComputingExplore 2 piecesClose
03What can machines now perceive—and do?Physical worldExplore 1 pieceClose
04What becomes programmable in biology?BiologyExplore 1 pieceClose
05What becomes possible when energy systems change?Physical worldExplore 2 piecesClose
06Which industrial capabilities are becoming scarce—and strategic?Physical worldExplore 1 pieceClose
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